Monday 25 September 2017, 22:00
Emirates Stadium
Full time
63%
22%
14%
Home win
63.4%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
14.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| West Brom | 14.4% | 6.95 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.9% | 4.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.9% | 6.73 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.1% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Arsenal / West Brom | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / West Brom | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
4.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
10.6
|
4.1
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.9
|
9.8
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.8
|
6.4
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.8
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Arsenal
3-1
West Brom
Jan 2021
West Brom
0-4
Arsenal
Dec 2017
West Brom
1-1
Arsenal
Mar 2017
West Brom
3-1
Arsenal
Dec 2016
Arsenal
1-0
West Brom
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.