Sunday 31 December 2017, 18:30
The Hawthorns
Full time
22%
26%
52%
Home win
21.6%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
52.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.5% | 11.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.1% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.5% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.6% | 8.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| West Brom / Arsenal | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.5
|
11.8
|
10.0
|
5.4
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
6.7
|
12.5
|
9.5
|
5.1
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
3.5
|
5.6
|
4.5
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.1
|
1.8
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Arsenal
3-1
West Brom
Jan 2021
West Brom
0-4
Arsenal
Sep 2017
Arsenal
2-0
West Brom
Mar 2017
West Brom
3-1
Arsenal
Dec 2016
Arsenal
1-0
West Brom
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.