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Saturday 9 September 2017, 17:00 American Express Community Stadium Full time
3–1
HT 1–0
30% 36% 34%
Home win
30.0%
Draw
36.0%
Away win
34.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton 30.0% 3.33
Draw 36.0% 2.78
West Brom 34.0% 2.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 80.4% 1.24
Under 0.5 19.6% 5.09
Over 1.5 50.5% 1.98
Under 1.5 49.5% 2.02
Over 2.5 23.4% 4.27
Under 2.5 76.6% 1.31
Over 3.5 8.8% 11.31
Under 3.5 91.2% 1.10
Over 4.5 2.8% 36.21
Under 4.5 97.2% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.7% 3.06
No 67.3% 1.49

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton / Draw 66.0% 1.52
Brighton / West Brom 64.0% 1.56
Draw / West Brom 70.0% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
19.6
15.6
7.1
2.1
0.4
0.1
1
14.3
13.9
5.7
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
6.0
5.2
2.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
1.6
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Brighton goals. Columns: West Brom goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.