Saturday 19 August 2017, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
41%
31%
28%
Home win
41.1%
Draw
30.6%
Away win
28.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 41.1% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| West Brom | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.1% | 8.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.7% | 5.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.0% | 14.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| No | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Burnley / West Brom | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / West Brom | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.1
|
10.1
|
5.3
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.9
|
14.0
|
6.4
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.4
|
8.1
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
Burnley
0-0
West Brom
Oct 2020
West Brom
0-0
Burnley
Mar 2018
West Brom
1-2
Burnley
May 2017
Burnley
2-2
West Brom
Nov 2016
West Brom
4-0
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.