Saturday 6 May 2017, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
40%
31%
29%
Home win
40.0%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
28.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.3% | 3.20 | — | — |
| West Brom | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.0% | 7.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.1% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.2% | 6.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.2% | 16.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Burnley / West Brom | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / West Brom | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.0
|
10.7
|
5.4
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
14.2
|
6.3
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
7.8
|
3.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
3.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
Burnley
0-0
West Brom
Oct 2020
West Brom
0-0
Burnley
Mar 2018
West Brom
1-2
Burnley
Aug 2017
Burnley
0-1
West Brom
Nov 2016
West Brom
4-0
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.