Saturday 31 March 2018, 17:00
The Hawthorns
Full time
32%
35%
33%
Home win
32.1%
Draw
34.7%
Away win
33.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Draw | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Burnley | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 17.6% | 5.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 10.6% | 9.43 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.5% | 28.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| No | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| West Brom / Burnley | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
17.6
|
14.4
|
6.8
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.0
|
14.2
|
6.0
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
5.9
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
Burnley
0-0
West Brom
Oct 2020
West Brom
0-0
Burnley
Aug 2017
Burnley
0-1
West Brom
May 2017
Burnley
2-2
West Brom
Nov 2016
West Brom
4-0
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.