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Saturday 10 March 2018, 17:00 London Stadium Full time
0–3
HT 0–0
39% 30% 30%
Home win
39.3%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
30.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 39.3% 2.54
Draw 30.2% 3.31
Burnley 30.5% 3.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.4% 8.76
Over 1.5 66.4% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.6% 2.97
Over 2.5 38.9% 2.57
Under 2.5 61.1% 1.64
Over 3.5 18.9% 5.29
Under 3.5 81.1% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.7% 12.95
Under 4.5 92.3% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.0% 2.17
No 54.0% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 69.5% 1.44
West Ham / Burnley 69.8% 1.43
Draw / Burnley 60.7% 1.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.4
10.2
5.7
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
12.1
14.1
6.8
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
7.8
8.0
4.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
3.1
3.2
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Burnley goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.