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Saturday 3 March 2018, 17:00 Liberty Stadium Full time
4–1
HT 2–0
40% 27% 32%
Home win
40.2%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
32.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea 40.2% 2.49
Draw 27.4% 3.65
West Ham 32.5% 3.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 13.03
Over 1.5 75.3% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.7% 4.05
Over 2.5 49.9% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.1% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.9% 3.59
Under 3.5 72.1% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.2% 7.55
Under 4.5 86.8% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.8% 1.82
No 45.2% 2.21

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea / Draw 67.5% 1.48
Swansea / West Ham 72.6% 1.38
Draw / West Ham 59.8% 1.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
7.9
5.4
2.3
0.7
0.2
1
9.1
13.0
7.7
3.2
1.0
0.3
2
7.0
8.7
5.5
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
3.3
4.1
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
1.2
1.5
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Swansea goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.