Monday 22 January 2018, 22:00
Liberty Stadium
Full time
14%
20%
66%
Home win
14.0%
Draw
20.2%
Away win
65.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 14.0% | 7.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.2% | 4.95 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.0% | 20.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.8% | 5.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.4% | 4.91 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Swansea / Liverpool | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.0
|
9.2
|
10.7
|
7.8
|
4.3
|
1.9
|
| 1 |
3.6
|
9.5
|
9.8
|
7.2
|
3.9
|
1.7
|
| 2 |
1.9
|
4.1
|
4.5
|
3.3
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.3
|
1.4
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.