Sunday 14 January 2018, 18:00
Anfield
Full time
34%
24%
41%
Home win
34.3%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
41.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 34.3% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.5% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.1% | 6.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| No | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Manchester City | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.6
|
6.1
|
5.7
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
5.5
|
10.9
|
8.7
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.6
|
7.9
|
6.7
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
4.0
|
3.4
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.5
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Liverpool
1-2
Manchester City
Nov 2025
Manchester City
3-0
Liverpool
Feb 2025
Manchester City
0-2
Liverpool
Dec 2024
Liverpool
2-0
Manchester City
Mar 2024
Liverpool
1-1
Manchester City
Nov 2023
Manchester City
1-1
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.