Tuesday 26 December 2017, 19:30
Anfield
Full time
78%
15%
7%
Home win
78.1%
Draw
14.6%
Away win
7.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.6% | 6.84 | — | — |
| Swansea | 7.2% | 13.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.8% | 6.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Swansea | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.8
|
6.9
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.2
|
8.7
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.8
|
7.6
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.1
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.8
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.