Saturday 2 December 2017, 17:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
47%
28%
25%
Home win
47.2%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
25.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Swansea | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.2% | 10.82 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.7% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.4% | 9.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.4% | 2.03 | — | — |
| No | 50.6% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Swansea | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.2
|
7.7
|
4.2
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
13.2
|
6.2
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
9.1
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
4.5
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.