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Sunday 13 May 2018, 17:00 Liberty Stadium Full time
1–2
HT 1–2
43% 30% 27%
Home win
43.1%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
27.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea 43.1% 2.32
Draw 29.9% 3.35
Stoke City 27.0% 3.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.4% 8.78
Over 1.5 66.4% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.6% 2.97
Over 2.5 38.9% 2.57
Under 2.5 61.1% 1.64
Over 3.5 18.9% 5.28
Under 3.5 81.1% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.7% 12.93
Under 4.5 92.3% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.4% 2.20
No 54.6% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea / Draw 73.0% 1.37
Swansea / Stoke City 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Stoke City 56.9% 1.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.4
9.4
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
12.8
13.9
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.7
8.4
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
3.7
3.6
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Swansea goals. Columns: Stoke City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.