Sunday 13 May 2018, 17:00
Liberty Stadium
Full time
43%
30%
27%
Home win
43.1%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
27.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.9% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.4% | 8.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.7% | 12.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Swansea / Stoke City | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.4
|
9.4
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
13.9
|
6.3
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
8.4
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.