Saturday 28 April 2018, 19:30
Liberty Stadium
Full time
16%
24%
60%
Home win
16.2%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
60.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 16.2% | 6.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.6% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.4% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.7% | 7.29 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Swansea / Chelsea | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
11.8
|
11.5
|
7.1
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
11.2
|
9.8
|
6.0
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
2.4
|
4.5
|
4.2
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.