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Sunday 8 April 2018, 18:30 Stamford Bridge Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
78% 14% 8%
Home win
78.0%
Draw
14.3%
Away win
7.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chelsea 78.0% 1.28
Draw 14.3% 6.98
West Ham 7.7% 13.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.7% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.3% 30.17
Over 1.5 87.1% 1.15
Under 1.5 12.9% 7.74
Over 2.5 68.4% 1.46
Under 2.5 31.6% 3.17
Over 3.5 46.9% 2.13
Under 3.5 53.1% 1.88
Over 4.5 28.0% 3.57
Under 4.5 72.0% 1.39

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.2% 1.95
No 48.8% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chelsea / Draw 92.3% 1.08
Chelsea / West Ham 85.7% 1.17
Draw / West Ham 22.0% 4.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.3
1.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
7.7
6.7
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
11.1
8.7
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
10.1
7.9
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
6.9
5.4
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
3.8
3.0
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Chelsea goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.