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Saturday 31 March 2018, 17:00 London Stadium Full time
43% 28% 30%
Home win
42.9%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
29.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 42.9% 2.33
Draw 27.5% 3.63
Southampton 29.5% 3.39

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.31
Over 1.5 74.1% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.9% 3.86
Over 2.5 48.3% 2.07
Under 2.5 51.7% 1.93
Over 3.5 26.5% 3.77
Under 3.5 73.5% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.3% 8.10
Under 4.5 87.7% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.2% 1.88
No 46.8% 2.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 70.5% 1.42
West Ham / Southampton 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Southampton 57.1% 1.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
7.8
5.0
1.9
0.6
0.1
1
9.9
13.1
7.2
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
7.7
9.0
5.2
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
3.7
4.3
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.3
1.6
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Southampton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.