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Saturday 10 March 2018, 17:00 St James' Park Full time
41% 32% 28%
Home win
40.7%
Draw
31.8%
Away win
27.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Newcastle 40.7% 2.46
Draw 31.8% 3.15
Southampton 27.5% 3.63

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.1% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.9% 7.21
Over 1.5 61.1% 1.64
Under 1.5 38.9% 2.57
Over 2.5 33.3% 3.01
Under 2.5 66.7% 1.50
Over 3.5 14.9% 6.71
Under 3.5 85.1% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.6% 17.92
Under 4.5 94.4% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.0% 2.44
No 59.0% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Newcastle / Draw 72.5% 1.38
Newcastle / Southampton 68.2% 1.47
Draw / Southampton 59.3% 1.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.9
10.8
5.2
1.5
0.3
0.1
1
14.2
14.1
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
8.6
7.6
3.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
3.3
2.9
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Newcastle goals. Columns: Southampton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.