Saturday 10 March 2018, 17:00
St James' Park
Full time
41%
32%
28%
Home win
40.7%
Draw
31.8%
Away win
27.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.8% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Southampton | 27.5% | 3.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.9% | 7.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.3% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.9% | 6.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.6% | 17.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| No | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle / Draw | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Newcastle / Southampton | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.9
|
10.8
|
5.2
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.2
|
14.1
|
5.9
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
7.6
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Southampton
1-3
Newcastle
Aug 2024
Newcastle
1-0
Southampton
Apr 2023
Newcastle
3-1
Southampton
Nov 2022
Southampton
1-4
Newcastle
Mar 2022
Southampton
1-2
Newcastle
Aug 2021
Newcastle
2-2
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.