Wednesday 31 January 2018, 21:45
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
48%
32%
20%
Home win
48.2%
Draw
31.7%
Away win
20.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Brighton | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.6% | 6.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.7% | 7.90 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.3% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.5% | 22.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
| No | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Southampton / Brighton | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Brighton | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.6
|
9.5
|
3.5
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.4
|
13.2
|
4.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.1
|
7.6
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Southampton
0-4
Brighton
Nov 2024
Brighton
1-1
Southampton
May 2023
Brighton
3-1
Southampton
Dec 2022
Southampton
1-3
Brighton
Apr 2022
Brighton
2-2
Southampton
Dec 2021
Southampton
1-1
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.