Monday 1 January 2018, 14:30
American Express Community Stadium
Full time
37%
31%
31%
Home win
37.4%
Draw
31.5%
Away win
31.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.5% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.0% | 7.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.2% | 6.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.3% | 15.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| No | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton / Draw | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Brighton / Bournemouth | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.0
|
11.3
|
6.0
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
14.3
|
6.7
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
7.5
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Brighton
1-1
Bournemouth
Sep 2025
Bournemouth
2-1
Brighton
Feb 2025
Brighton
2-1
Bournemouth
Nov 2024
Bournemouth
1-2
Brighton
Apr 2024
Bournemouth
3-0
Brighton
Sep 2023
Brighton
3-1
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.