Saturday 16 December 2017, 17:00
American Express Community Stadium
Full time
33%
35%
32%
Home win
32.7%
Draw
35.4%
Away win
31.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Burnley | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 18.7% | 5.36 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 24.8% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 9.6% | 10.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.1% | 32.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.1% | 2.93 | — | — |
| No | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton / Draw | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Brighton / Burnley | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
18.7
|
14.5
|
6.5
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.7
|
14.0
|
5.7
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.7
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Burnley
0-2
Brighton
Jan 2026
Brighton
2-0
Burnley
Apr 2024
Burnley
1-1
Brighton
Dec 2023
Brighton
1-1
Burnley
Feb 2022
Brighton
0-3
Burnley
Aug 2021
Burnley
1-2
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.