Skip to content
Wednesday 13 December 2017, 22:00 Old Trafford Full time
71% 19% 9%
Home win
71.3%
Draw
19.4%
Away win
9.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 71.3% 1.40
Draw 19.4% 5.17
Bournemouth 9.3% 10.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.40
Over 1.5 76.4% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.6% 4.24
Over 2.5 51.7% 1.93
Under 2.5 48.3% 2.07
Over 3.5 29.6% 3.38
Under 3.5 70.4% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.4% 6.96
Under 4.5 85.6% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.6% 2.40
No 58.4% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 90.7% 1.10
Manchester United / Bournemouth 80.6% 1.24
Draw / Bournemouth 28.7% 3.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
3.5
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
13.1
9.1
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.4
9.1
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
10.1
6.4
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
5.3
3.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.3
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: Bournemouth goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.