Saturday 13 January 2018, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
40%
28%
32%
Home win
40.4%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
31.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Southampton | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.5% | 11.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.3% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.7% | 8.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Watford / Southampton | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.5
|
8.4
|
5.4
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.9
|
13.4
|
7.5
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
8.7
|
5.1
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
4.0
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2022
Southampton
1-2
Watford
Oct 2021
Watford
0-1
Southampton
Jun 2020
Watford
1-3
Southampton
Nov 2019
Southampton
2-1
Watford
Apr 2019
Watford
1-1
Southampton
Nov 2018
Southampton
1-1
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.