Saturday 10 November 2018, 17:00
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Full time
41%
29%
30%
Home win
41.3%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
29.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Watford | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 10.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.8% | 4.58 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.4% | 10.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Southampton / Watford | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
9.1
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
13.7
|
6.9
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.9
|
8.5
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
3.7
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2022
Southampton
1-2
Watford
Oct 2021
Watford
0-1
Southampton
Jun 2020
Watford
1-3
Southampton
Nov 2019
Southampton
2-1
Watford
Apr 2019
Watford
1-1
Southampton
Jan 2018
Watford
2-2
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.