Saturday 20 October 2018, 17:00
Vitality Stadium
Full time
50%
26%
24%
Home win
50.4%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
23.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Southampton | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.86 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.6% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Southampton | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
6.3
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.1
|
12.3
|
6.2
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.0
|
9.6
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
5.3
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
2.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Southampton
1-3
Bournemouth
Sep 2024
Bournemouth
3-1
Southampton
Apr 2023
Southampton
0-1
Bournemouth
Oct 2022
Bournemouth
0-1
Southampton
Jul 2020
Bournemouth
0-2
Southampton
Sep 2019
Southampton
1-3
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.