Saturday 22 September 2018, 17:00
Anfield
Full time
74%
17%
8%
Home win
74.4%
Draw
17.2%
Away win
8.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.2% | 5.81 | — | — |
| Southampton | 8.4% | 11.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.5% | 5.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.4% | 5.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.6% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| No | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Southampton | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.2
|
8.2
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.6
|
9.0
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.6
|
7.0
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.2
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Liverpool
3-1
Southampton
Nov 2024
Southampton
2-3
Liverpool
May 2023
Southampton
4-4
Liverpool
Nov 2022
Liverpool
3-1
Southampton
May 2022
Southampton
1-2
Liverpool
Nov 2021
Liverpool
4-0
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.