Saturday 25 August 2018, 19:30
Anfield
Full time
77%
16%
7%
Home win
77.0%
Draw
15.7%
Away win
7.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.7% | 6.36 | — | — |
| Brighton | 7.3% | 13.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.8% | 20.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.8% | 5.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.5% | 4.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Brighton | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Brighton | 23.0% | 4.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.8
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
7.5
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.5
|
8.7
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.1
|
7.2
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.9
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.4
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Brighton
2-1
Liverpool
Dec 2025
Liverpool
2-0
Brighton
May 2025
Brighton
3-2
Liverpool
Nov 2024
Liverpool
2-1
Brighton
Mar 2024
Liverpool
2-1
Brighton
Oct 2023
Brighton
2-2
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.