Friday 4 May 2018, 22:00
American Express Community Stadium
Full time
16%
28%
56%
Home win
16.1%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
55.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 16.1% | 6.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.3% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.0% | 7.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.4% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.1% | 6.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.2% | 16.19 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| No | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton / Draw | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Brighton / Manchester United | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.0
|
17.1
|
12.8
|
6.2
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.3
|
12.3
|
8.4
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
3.8
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Brighton
0-3
Manchester United
Oct 2025
Manchester United
4-2
Brighton
Jan 2025
Manchester United
1-3
Brighton
Aug 2024
Brighton
2-1
Manchester United
May 2024
Brighton
0-2
Manchester United
Sep 2023
Manchester United
1-3
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.