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Sunday 29 April 2018, 18:30 Old Trafford Full time
56% 24% 20%
Home win
55.9%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
19.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 55.9% 1.79
Draw 24.4% 4.09
Arsenal 19.7% 5.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.42
Over 1.5 77.0% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.0% 4.35
Over 2.5 52.3% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.7% 2.10
Over 3.5 30.1% 3.32
Under 3.5 69.9% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.7% 6.78
Under 4.5 85.3% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.6% 1.90
No 47.4% 2.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 80.3% 1.25
Manchester United / Arsenal 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Arsenal 44.1% 2.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
5.5
3.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
10.6
11.6
5.4
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.1
9.8
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
6.0
5.9
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
2.7
2.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.0
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: Arsenal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.