Sunday 29 April 2018, 18:30
Old Trafford
Full time
56%
24%
20%
Home win
55.9%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
19.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.4% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.0% | 4.35 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.7% | 6.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Arsenal | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
5.5
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
11.6
|
5.4
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.1
|
9.8
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.0
|
5.9
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Arsenal
2-3
Manchester United
Aug 2025
Manchester United
0-1
Arsenal
Mar 2025
Manchester United
1-1
Arsenal
Dec 2024
Arsenal
2-0
Manchester United
May 2024
Manchester United
0-1
Arsenal
Sep 2023
Arsenal
3-1
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.