Skip to content
Sunday 22 April 2018, 15:30 Emirates Stadium Full time
4–1
HT 0–0
72% 16% 12%
Home win
71.9%
Draw
16.4%
Away win
11.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal 71.9% 1.39
Draw 16.4% 6.11
West Ham 11.8% 8.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.2% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.8% 35.46
Over 1.5 89.0% 1.12
Under 1.5 11.0% 9.08
Over 2.5 71.8% 1.39
Under 2.5 28.2% 3.55
Over 3.5 51.1% 1.96
Under 3.5 48.9% 2.04
Over 4.5 31.7% 3.15
Under 4.5 68.3% 1.46

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.6% 1.65
No 39.4% 2.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal / Draw 88.2% 1.13
Arsenal / West Ham 83.6% 1.20
Draw / West Ham 28.2% 3.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.8
2.1
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
6.1
7.1
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.1
2
8.7
9.0
4.7
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
7.8
8.1
4.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
4
5.2
5.4
2.8
1.0
0.3
0.1
5
2.8
2.9
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
Rows: Arsenal goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.