Sunday 8 April 2018, 16:15
Emirates Stadium
Full time
69%
19%
12%
Home win
69.3%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
11.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.2% | 5.22 | — | — |
| Southampton | 11.5% | 8.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.3% | 18.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.8% | 5.33 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Southampton | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.3
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.1
|
9.1
|
3.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.9
|
9.6
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.9
|
7.2
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.0
|
4.0
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.2
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Southampton
1-2
Arsenal
Oct 2024
Arsenal
3-1
Southampton
Apr 2023
Arsenal
3-3
Southampton
Oct 2022
Southampton
1-1
Arsenal
Apr 2022
Southampton
1-0
Arsenal
Dec 2021
Arsenal
3-0
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.