Thursday 1 March 2018, 21:45
Emirates Stadium
Full time
31%
23%
45%
Home win
31.4%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
45.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.8% | 26.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.9% | 7.19 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| No | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Manchester City | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.8
|
5.6
|
5.8
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
4.5
|
10.0
|
8.9
|
5.6
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.9
|
7.3
|
6.9
|
4.3
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
3.8
|
3.5
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.4
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Manchester City
2-1
Arsenal
Sep 2025
Arsenal
1-1
Manchester City
Feb 2025
Arsenal
5-1
Manchester City
Sep 2024
Manchester City
2-2
Arsenal
Mar 2024
Manchester City
0-0
Arsenal
Oct 2023
Arsenal
1-0
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.