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Saturday 10 February 2018, 19:30 Etihad Stadium Full time
79% 14% 8%
Home win
78.5%
Draw
13.8%
Away win
7.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City 78.5% 1.27
Draw 13.8% 7.27
Leicester 7.7% 12.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.2% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.8% 35.19
Over 1.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.3% 8.84
Over 2.5 71.4% 1.40
Under 2.5 28.6% 3.49
Over 3.5 50.5% 1.98
Under 3.5 49.5% 2.02
Over 4.5 31.2% 3.21
Under 4.5 68.8% 1.45

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.7% 1.86
No 46.3% 2.16

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City / Draw 92.3% 1.08
Manchester City / Leicester 86.2% 1.16
Draw / Leicester 21.5% 4.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.8
1.7
0.9
0.2
0.1
0.0
1
6.8
6.3
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
10.2
8.5
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
9.7
8.1
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
6.9
5.8
2.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
5
4.0
3.3
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Manchester City goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.