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Wednesday 31 January 2018, 21:45 Goodison Park Full time
2–1
HT 2–0
47% 25% 27%
Home win
47.4%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
27.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton 47.4% 2.11
Draw 25.4% 3.93
Leicester 27.1% 3.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.2% 16.11
Over 1.5 79.1% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.9% 4.79
Over 2.5 55.3% 1.81
Under 2.5 44.7% 2.24
Over 3.5 32.9% 3.04
Under 3.5 67.1% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.7% 5.97
Under 4.5 83.3% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.9% 1.73
No 42.1% 2.38

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton / Draw 72.9% 1.37
Everton / Leicester 74.6% 1.34
Draw / Leicester 52.6% 1.90

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.2
6.1
4.1
1.7
0.5
0.1
1
8.6
12.0
6.9
2.8
0.9
0.2
2
7.8
9.5
5.8
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
4.3
5.3
3.2
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
1.8
2.2
1.4
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.6
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Everton goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.