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Monday 1 January 2018, 19:30 Goodison Park Full time
26% 29% 45%
Home win
26.1%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
45.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton 26.1% 3.84
Draw 29.0% 3.45
Manchester United 45.0% 2.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.6% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.4% 9.58
Over 1.5 68.5% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.5% 3.18
Over 2.5 41.3% 2.42
Under 2.5 58.7% 1.71
Over 3.5 20.8% 4.81
Under 3.5 79.2% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.8% 11.36
Under 4.5 91.2% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.1% 2.12
No 52.9% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton / Draw 55.0% 1.82
Everton / Manchester United 71.0% 1.41
Draw / Manchester United 73.9% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.4
12.4
9.0
4.1
1.4
0.4
1
8.7
13.6
8.7
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
4.6
6.3
4.3
1.9
0.7
0.2
3
1.5
2.0
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Everton goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.