Tuesday 26 December 2017, 17:00
Old Trafford
Full time
63%
26%
11%
Home win
63.3%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
10.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Burnley | 10.8% | 9.23 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.3% | 7.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.4% | 6.47 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.9% | 17.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
| No | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Burnley | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.3
|
5.7
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
19.3
|
10.5
|
2.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.6
|
7.7
|
1.9
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
4.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Burnley
2-2
Manchester United
Aug 2025
Manchester United
3-2
Burnley
Apr 2024
Manchester United
1-1
Burnley
Sep 2023
Burnley
0-1
Manchester United
Feb 2022
Burnley
1-1
Manchester United
Dec 2021
Manchester United
3-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.