Saturday 20 January 2018, 17:00
King Power Stadium
Full time
58%
22%
20%
Home win
57.5%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
20.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Watford | 20.4% | 4.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.4% | 22.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.8% | 6.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.8% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.9% | 4.36 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| No | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester / Draw | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Leicester / Watford | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.4
|
4.0
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.4
|
10.0
|
5.6
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
9.8
|
5.8
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
6.8
|
4.0
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.0
|
3.5
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Watford
1-5
Leicester
Nov 2021
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Jun 2020
Watford
1-1
Leicester
Dec 2019
Leicester
2-0
Watford
Mar 2019
Watford
2-1
Leicester
Dec 2018
Leicester
2-0
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.