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Saturday 3 February 2018, 17:00 King Power Stadium Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
57% 24% 19%
Home win
57.1%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
18.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 57.1% 1.75
Draw 24.3% 4.12
Swansea 18.6% 5.37

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.9% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.99
Over 1.5 76.4% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.6% 4.24
Over 2.5 51.5% 1.94
Under 2.5 48.5% 2.06
Over 3.5 29.3% 3.41
Under 3.5 70.7% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.2% 7.03
Under 4.5 85.8% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.3% 1.95
No 48.7% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 81.4% 1.23
Leicester / Swansea 75.7% 1.32
Draw / Swansea 42.9% 2.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.1
5.4
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
11.0
11.6
5.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.5
9.8
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
6.3
5.9
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
2.8
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.0
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Swansea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.