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Saturday 21 October 2017, 17:00 Liberty Stadium Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
40% 27% 34%
Home win
39.5%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
33.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea 39.5% 2.53
Draw 26.7% 3.75
Leicester 33.8% 2.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.60
Over 1.5 77.5% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.5% 4.44
Over 2.5 52.8% 1.89
Under 2.5 47.2% 2.12
Over 3.5 30.6% 3.27
Under 3.5 69.4% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.1% 6.62
Under 4.5 84.9% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.2% 1.75
No 42.8% 2.34

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea / Draw 66.2% 1.51
Swansea / Leicester 73.3% 1.36
Draw / Leicester 60.5% 1.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
7.5
5.4
2.4
0.8
0.2
1
8.2
12.6
7.9
3.5
1.2
0.3
2
6.5
8.7
5.8
2.6
0.9
0.2
3
3.2
4.2
2.8
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
1.2
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Swansea goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.