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Saturday 23 September 2017, 19:30 King Power Stadium Full time
27% 23% 50%
Home win
26.7%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
49.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 26.7% 3.74
Draw 23.4% 4.28
Liverpool 49.9% 2.00

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.7% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.3% 23.16
Over 1.5 84.6% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.4% 6.49
Over 2.5 63.8% 1.57
Under 2.5 36.2% 2.76
Over 3.5 41.7% 2.40
Under 3.5 58.3% 1.72
Over 4.5 23.5% 4.25
Under 4.5 76.5% 1.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.2% 1.56
No 35.8% 2.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 50.1% 2.00
Leicester / Liverpool 76.6% 1.30
Draw / Liverpool 73.3% 1.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.3
6.6
6.9
4.4
2.1
0.8
1
4.5
10.4
9.4
6.0
2.9
1.1
2
3.5
6.7
6.4
4.1
2.0
0.8
3
1.6
3.1
2.9
1.9
0.9
0.3
4
0.5
1.0
1.0
0.6
0.3
0.1
5
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Liverpool goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.