Saturday 16 September 2017, 17:00
Anfield
Full time
66%
21%
13%
Home win
65.7%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
13.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.9% | 4.80 | — | — |
| Burnley | 13.5% | 7.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.9% | 16.97 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.4% | 4.90 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.3% | 5.77 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| No | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Burnley | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.9
|
3.9
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
9.9
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.6
|
9.8
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.1
|
6.8
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.2
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Liverpool
1-1
Burnley
Sep 2025
Burnley
0-1
Liverpool
Feb 2024
Liverpool
3-1
Burnley
Dec 2023
Burnley
0-2
Liverpool
Feb 2022
Burnley
0-1
Liverpool
Aug 2021
Liverpool
2-0
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.