Sunday 27 August 2017, 18:00
Wembley Stadium
Full time
79%
15%
6%
Home win
78.7%
Draw
15.2%
Away win
6.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.2% | 6.57 | — | — |
| Burnley | 6.1% | 16.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.3% | 5.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
| No | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham / Draw | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Tottenham / Burnley | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 21.3% | 4.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.9
|
7.2
|
1.9
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.0
|
8.2
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.2
|
6.7
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.4
|
4.1
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.6
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Burnley
2-2
Tottenham
Aug 2025
Tottenham
3-0
Burnley
May 2024
Tottenham
2-1
Burnley
Sep 2023
Burnley
2-5
Tottenham
May 2022
Tottenham
1-0
Burnley
Feb 2022
Burnley
1-0
Tottenham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.