Saturday 13 May 2017, 17:00
Vitality Stadium
Full time
50%
25%
25%
Home win
50.3%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
24.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Burnley | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.50 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.1% | 5.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| No | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Burnley | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
5.6
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.8
|
11.7
|
6.5
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
9.7
|
5.6
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
5.6
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
2.5
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Burnley
0-0
Bournemouth
Dec 2025
Bournemouth
1-1
Burnley
Mar 2024
Burnley
0-2
Bournemouth
Oct 2023
Bournemouth
2-1
Burnley
Feb 2020
Burnley
3-0
Bournemouth
Dec 2019
Bournemouth
0-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.