Skip to content
Saturday 15 April 2017, 14:30 White Hart Lane Full time
81% 13% 6%
Home win
80.9%
Draw
12.9%
Away win
6.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 80.9% 1.24
Draw 12.9% 7.76
Bournemouth 6.2% 16.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.9% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.1% 31.94
Over 1.5 87.6% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.4% 8.05
Over 2.5 69.4% 1.44
Under 2.5 30.6% 3.26
Over 3.5 48.0% 2.08
Under 3.5 52.0% 1.92
Over 4.5 29.0% 3.45
Under 4.5 71.0% 1.41

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.6% 2.06
No 51.4% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 93.8% 1.07
Tottenham / Bournemouth 87.1% 1.15
Draw / Bournemouth 19.1% 5.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.1
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
7.6
6.1
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
11.4
8.2
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
10.9
7.8
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
7.8
5.6
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
4.5
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Bournemouth goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.