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Wednesday 5 April 2017, 21:45 Liberty Stadium Full time
1–3
HT 1–0
12% 19% 69%
Home win
12.0%
Draw
18.8%
Away win
69.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea 12.0% 8.36
Draw 18.8% 5.33
Tottenham 69.3% 1.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.42
Over 1.5 83.1% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.9% 5.91
Over 2.5 61.5% 1.62
Under 2.5 38.5% 2.60
Over 3.5 39.3% 2.55
Under 3.5 60.7% 1.65
Over 4.5 21.5% 4.64
Under 4.5 78.5% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.7% 1.90
No 47.3% 2.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea / Draw 30.7% 3.26
Swansea / Tottenham 81.2% 1.23
Draw / Tottenham 88.0% 1.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
9.1
11.1
8.6
5.0
2.3
1
3.1
8.8
9.6
7.4
4.3
2.0
2
1.6
3.6
4.2
3.2
1.9
0.9
3
0.5
1.0
1.2
0.9
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Swansea goals. Columns: Tottenham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.