Sunday 26 February 2017, 15:30
White Hart Lane
Full time
71%
20%
9%
Home win
71.2%
Draw
19.6%
Away win
9.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.6% | 5.12 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 9.3% | 10.80 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.8% | 7.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
| No | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham / Draw | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Tottenham / Stoke City | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
3.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
9.1
|
2.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.6
|
9.0
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.1
|
6.3
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.3
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.2
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2018
Stoke City
1-2
Tottenham
Dec 2017
Tottenham
5-1
Stoke City
Sep 2016
Stoke City
0-4
Tottenham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.