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Saturday 14 January 2017, 17:00 Stadium of Light Full time
38% 28% 34%
Home win
37.8%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
34.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland 37.8% 2.65
Draw 28.1% 3.56
Stoke City 34.1% 2.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.5% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.5% 11.79
Over 1.5 73.3% 1.37
Under 1.5 26.7% 3.74
Over 2.5 47.2% 2.12
Under 2.5 52.8% 1.89
Over 3.5 25.6% 3.91
Under 3.5 74.4% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.7% 8.54
Under 4.5 88.3% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.9% 1.89
No 47.1% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland / Draw 65.9% 1.52
Sunderland / Stoke City 71.9% 1.39
Draw / Stoke City 62.2% 1.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.5
8.8
6.0
2.5
0.8
0.2
1
9.4
13.4
7.9
3.3
1.0
0.3
2
6.7
8.3
5.2
2.1
0.7
0.2
3
3.0
3.7
2.3
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
1.0
1.2
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sunderland goals. Columns: Stoke City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.