Wednesday 14 December 2016, 22:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
38%
34%
28%
Home win
38.1%
Draw
33.6%
Away win
28.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Southampton | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.4% | 6.11 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.5% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.8% | 8.44 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.1% | 24.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.1% | 2.69 | — | — |
| No | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Southampton | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.4
|
12.2
|
5.5
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
15.1
|
14.1
|
5.6
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.1
|
6.8
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2018
Southampton
0-0
Stoke City
Sep 2017
Stoke City
2-1
Southampton
May 2017
Southampton
0-1
Stoke City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.