Saturday 19 November 2016, 17:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
42%
26%
32%
Home win
41.6%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
32.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 32.1% | 3.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.1% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.2% | 6.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Bournemouth | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
6.9
|
5.0
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.1
|
12.3
|
7.7
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
8.9
|
5.9
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
4.6
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2018
Bournemouth
2-1
Stoke City
Oct 2017
Stoke City
1-2
Bournemouth
May 2017
Bournemouth
2-2
Stoke City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.