Saturday 21 October 2017, 17:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
43%
26%
31%
Home win
43.0%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
30.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.4% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.2% | 6.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| No | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Bournemouth | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
7.0
|
4.8
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
12.5
|
7.5
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
9.1
|
5.7
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
4.7
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.8
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2018
Bournemouth
2-1
Stoke City
May 2017
Bournemouth
2-2
Stoke City
Nov 2016
Stoke City
0-1
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.