Saturday 23 September 2017, 17:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
17%
24%
58%
Home win
17.4%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
58.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 17.4% | 5.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.5% | 13.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.4% | 7.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Chelsea | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.5
|
11.7
|
11.1
|
6.7
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
11.5
|
9.8
|
5.9
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
2.7
|
4.8
|
4.3
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.4
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.